Year |
France |
Italy |
Spain |
Portugal |
Belgium |
Britain |
Ireland |
Germany |
Poland |
Holland |
1981 |
10,7% |
32,4 |
40,1 |
|
30,0 |
13,4 |
82,2 |
18,5 |
|
25,0 |
2008 EVS |
6,7 |
22,0 |
18,5 |
32,3 |
10,0 |
13,3 |
34,3 |
6,4 |
52,7 |
17,0 |
2010 ESS |
7,0 |
|
14,4 |
30,7 |
8,3 |
11,4 |
|
6,9 |
51,7 |
12,5 |
EVS question: “How important is God in your life?” coded 1-10; ESS quest.: “How religious are you?” coded 0-10
Year* |
France |
Italy |
Spain |
Portugal |
Belgium |
G. Brit |
Ireland |
Germany |
Poland |
Holland |
1981 |
4,53 |
6,77 |
6,32 |
|
5,84 |
5,43 |
7,98 |
5,33 |
|
5,17 |
1990 |
4,44 |
7,05 |
6,12 |
7,10 |
5,31 |
5,37 |
7,93 |
5,30 |
8,43 |
4,89 |
2010 |
3,62 |
|
4,43 |
5,68 |
4,54 |
3,98 |
|
3,92 |
6,16 |
4,75 |
In 2010, about 65% of the weddings were secular, and 35% religious. In 1005-1007, the number of divorces was over 70% of the number of marriages celebrated that year.
Secularization as the non-intentional loss of faith has become a basic threat for the survival of religion in most Western societies. There are no new major religions to replace the existing ones. And unlike atheism, secularization offers no frontal attack against religion which could be countered with apologetic answers. This trend covers not only most of Europe but also Australia and New Zealand, and probably Latin America; hence it would be short-sided to consider the apparent American exceptionalism as a form of superiority.
The general trend is clearly seen in European surveys shown below. Similar data exist for the U.S. What is needed is a better knowledge of the causes and consequences of this trend in order to design better strategies of revitalization.
The prediction of the disappearance of religion has prevailed in the social sciences since the Enlightenment, Comte and Durkheim but has been questioned in recent decades. According to the now classic explanation of José Casanova, secularization is composed of three different theories: the functional differentiation of the social spheres, the privatization of belief, and the decline of religion.
In reference to functional differentiation, Luhmann has shown that the social subsystems of the economy, politics, art, science, morality, the family, and religion, are becoming increasingly autonomous from each other. Religion is no longer the main factor of social integration, but one institution among many others. Religion does not structure society anymore, the State and the Market are contending to take its place. Thus functional differentiation does not mean disappearance of religion, but rather its profound and radical redefinition.
The privatization of religion and its decline are well known through numerous statistics, semi-vacant churches, empty seminaries, and the non-conformity of many believers to the teachings of their churches in matters of faith and morals.
In reference to religious decline, sociologists today point out that it is not religion per se that is declining, but rather some traditional institutions while sects and new religions are flourishing. Sociologists – who tend to be secularists – see no problem in the replacement of one religion by another or by no-religion. They may analyse the present situation as one of de-composition and re-composition: new gods are emerging while old ones are fading away, as Dukheim wrote.
There is a tendency today to speculate about a post-secular stage of society. If we take for granted the functional differentiation of the social spheres, the privatization of belief, and the decline of religion, then what comes next? Your guess is as good as mine; so I leave it up to you to suggest a course of action for the future.